Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Potential Trouble for Hawaii

This may not be good.

This morning I posted the update on TD #8-E. Well, it's 7 hours later, and TD #8 is now Hurricane Felicia. And the storm forecast, though very broad, has it taking dead aim at the Big Island of Hawaii in 6-7 days, packing winds at that point around 90-100 MPH.

Let's hope that this forecast is wrong; or else we could be seeing Hawaii's worst hurricane since Iniki in 1992.

The Current Update on Felicia:

Hurricane Felicia
Location: 12.4N, 126.6W, about 1315 miles SSW of the tip of Baja California
Winds: 80 MPH
Movement: W at 14 mph
Forecast: NW then WNW at 14 MPH, coming close to the Island of Hawaii within 7 days. May become a Category 3 by this time tomorrow.

Just to the Northeast of Felicia is Tropical Storm Enrique.

Tropical Storm Enrique
Location: 15.0N, 118.4W
Winds: 60 MPH
Movement: WNW at 16 mph
Forecast: Continuing WNW movement, with a slight turn to the southwest and eventually becoming overwhelmed by Felicia. No threat to land, unless it becomes part of Felicia. Probably will not achieve Hurricane status.

Also, in the Atlantic Ocean, a disturbance is southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, around the area where Tropical Storm Bret formed on this day 16 years ago. Another small disturbance is bringing thundershowers to the southern Cape Verde Islands. Both of these waves have a slight chance to become Depressions.

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